Fairweather Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 ...forecast for the next 48 hours in the Olympics and Cascades. Remember what 18 inches did to Sunshine Campground, the WT, and the road to Paradise? Better pump up those mountain bike tires or change the oil in that Honda Ruckus if you want to get to your favorite trail head this summer. Shit! Quote
JayB Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 You mean these? http://money.cnn.com/2009/01/05/news/economy/obama_stimulus/?postversion=2009010515 Quote
PhöQ Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 OMG! I didn't expect this thread was going to be about the weather! I thought this was gonna be something about Raindawgs manhood. Bummer Quote
Choada_Boy Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 .AVALANCHE...SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND HEAVY SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN OR HEAVY WET SNOW TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SHOULD SEVERELY STRESS EXISTING SNOWPACK. THIS INCLUDES NOT ONLY WEAK LAYERS WITHIN THE 2 TO 5 FEET OF SNOW RECEIVED SINCE STRONGER LAYERS FORMED ON NEW YEARS DAY...BUT ALSO THE ENTIRE WINTER SNOW COVER IN PLACES. EXTREME DANGER LIKELY DEVELOPING IN MANY AREAS ESPECIALLY ABOVE 4-5000 FEET...SOME CLIMAX SLIDES MAY REACH THE GROUND WITH SLAB DEPTHS RANGING UP TO 6 TO 10 FEET OR MORE. BACKCOUNTRY TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MOORE Quote
Stefan Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 (edited) HYPE! Yes it will rain. But remember, the news people want you to watch their news stories. Watch the MM5: MM5 Data synopsis Edited January 6, 2009 by Stefan Quote
jmace Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 You are using a 36km domain to look at short term forecasting, try looking at the Nam 12km or even finer the GFS 4km domain why dont you add up the precip on say the west side of the Olympics over 48 hours and see what you get. I get about 18" from the GFS 4Km and about 14 " from the NAM 12km 36km domain is good for long range not great for short range Cheers Quote
RuMR Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 That's a dried up old bone yer chewin on. don't insult Fairyweather's unit like that! Quote
pc313 Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 I hope it rain til Spring,still snow in and today was the first in 53 days to hit 50 degs and the 15 day forecast looks great,sorry i'm doing a rain dance guys! Quote
G-spotter Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 The 30-year record, 24-hour rainfall for Hope is 173mm or about 7 inches. 20 inches in 48 hours is nutz. I can see that for the wet west side of the Olympics and Van Island where they get up to 400mm/24h, but I don't think the Cascades are gonna get anywhere near 20 inches. Quote
olyclimber Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 WIND TEMPORARILY KNOCKED OUT MY INTERNET. AFTER BREATHING INTO A PAPER BAG FOR 1/2 HOUR I LOST CONSCIOUSNESS. WHEN I CAME TO SERVICE WAS RESTORED. THINKING OF GETTING VERY LARGE HARDDRIVE AND DOWNLOADING THE INTERNET IN CASE THIS HAPPENS AGAIN. Quote
tvashtarkatena Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 The 30-year record, 24-hour rainfall for Hope is 173mm or about 7 inches. 20 inches in 48 hours is nutz. I can see that for the wet west side of the Olympics and Van Island where they get up to 400mm/24h, but I don't think the Cascades are gonna get anywhere near 20 inches. You regularly receive 7 inches up there, no? Quote
G-spotter Posted January 6, 2009 Posted January 6, 2009 You've been given just enough rope already. Quote
Stefan Posted January 7, 2009 Posted January 7, 2009 It appears at this time the snow level is around 5300 feet give or take a hundred feet. Based on data from various snotel stations. and at those locations above 5300 feet I see accumulations of about 1 foot in about 6 hours...but take that with a grain of salt. Quote
G-spotter Posted January 7, 2009 Posted January 7, 2009 2-day rainfall for Hope is now predicted as 200mm which is a 1 in 10-year event. However with the snowmelt this could be the equivalent of >250mm when it comes to creating runoff... Quote
Stefan Posted January 7, 2009 Posted January 7, 2009 rain is definitely more significant in the northern part of washington. reading range from 6-10 inches from various snotel sites. in the south rain is in the 2-4 inch accumulations. freezing level seemed to start around 6100 feet. Quote
akhalteke Posted January 7, 2009 Posted January 7, 2009 God is punishing you because of your insolence. Quote
tvashtarkatena Posted January 8, 2009 Posted January 8, 2009 (edited) yeah, it might be time to move to the natural and cultural paradise that is the deep south. Edited January 8, 2009 by tvashtarkatena Quote
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