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willstrickland

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Everything posted by willstrickland

  1. Swab! Back to yer hole cabin boy.
  2. I'll give her a jolly rogerin' arrrr!
  3. Just use this one
  4. willstrickland

    Peak Oil

    And you are welcome to drink the kool aid with your abiotic oil cult bretheren. And most medical diagnoses are nothing more than someone's opinion. I can cite plenty of studies, the vast majority of which show ethanol with net negative to 1.6 EROEI depending on source. And this alters the fact that we will not produce enough ethanol via crops how exactly? Talk about an odd point. It takes 15yrs to turn over the vehicle fleet. You essentially made my point with "If I had one of those..." So go buy one smartguy. Which means jack shit until massive projects are built. The larger point being you will not avoid ugly energy shocks because the development and construction time will lag the peaking of oil and likely natural gas production. What part of "long haul trucking" is confusing to you? What percentage of the freight trucking mileage is local delivery and what part is long distance better suited to rail? Are you being deliberately dense? Magic 8 ball says "all signs point to yes".
  5. willstrickland

    Peak Oil

    Educate yourselves: http://www.theoildrum.com Peak production WILL occur within the decade. Whether we have enough demand destruction due to market forces to avoid a hard landing remains to be seen. Two of the largest fields in the world are in decline (Gahwar and Cantarell). North Sea peaked a few years ago. Alaska peaked about a decade ago. We WILL NOT drill our way out of this one. The simple existence of energy sources is not relevant without considering the EROEI (energy return on energy invested...i.e. the net energy after accounting for extraction/production). Many of the hyped technologies are net negative EROEI after accounting for all inputs. We do not have enough cropland to simulatenously feed ourselves and produce enough biofuels (diesel, ethanol) to operate at our current demand. EROEI for corn ethanol is horrible. Not great for tar sands either, which require huge amounts of water to extract (steam is pumped to liquify/loosen). The key will be getting diversity, and getting it before an oil shock sends the global economy into a tailspin or instigates energy wars. My personal view is that battery technology advancement/electric driven with liquid fuel reserves for extra distance is the best bet. We need to oil and nat gas stocks more for fertilizers, chemical feedstocks, pharma, etc than we need it for easy motoring. We will need geographic diversity...massive solar in the sunbelt, geothermal in the Cascades, Sierra, and Rockies, clean coal in the appalachians, offshore wind farms, etc. Getting more freight off 18wheelers and into rail helps as well. It's more efficient energy wise, and removes the truck traffic, which reduces road damage and traffic congestion which itself is a huge drain on efficiency. Lots of tech articles on the site I linked if you look for them. Many academics, oil industry insiders, etc writing for that site and very detailed technical discussions.
  6. It says I'm more concerned with continuing access to desert climbing areas being sabatoged by some selfish media whoring, than about some guy playing rub-a-dub-dub in the big atlantic bathtub. That you're to dense to grasp this..what does this say about you?
  7. Introducing the "North West South East Forest Pass". $1,631 for a year of access to all federal sites...excluding national monuments, BLM lands, and National Forests. But you can buy a "Let the Eagle Soar" John Ashcroft memorial pass that also allows access to these lands for an additional $857, and a $37 per day parking fee while accessing Your Public Lands! Fuckin sweet babay!
  8. Good luck man, I'm all fixed up on 5 and 6wts. Need an 9ft 8wt and a 7'6" 3 wt.
  9. The beatings will continue until morale improves.
  10. Heard some rumblings through the grapevine that Mike sent City Park last week.
  11. "Green Party nominates Cheney for 2008 Presidential bid"
  12. What are the fly rods/reels and crampons?
  13. There is nothing unclear about the regs: If it has a name on the 7.5 USGS, don't climb it. I'd wager that the literally hundreds of thousands, if not millions of pro and amatuer photogs and tourons who photograph the feature each year would have their experience seriously compromised by some climber clowns on the arch. This feature is an icon for millions who couldn't care less if you're climbing on the 3 gossips or the penguins, but DO care if you're on this Arch. If you felt the need in your soul to climb the fucker, why not do it at night, when nobody was there and shut the fuck up about it instead of spraying it all over the media where it will surely negatively impact climbers in the perception of land managers...the very people who can screw us the hardest. Is there a shortage of rock in the greater Moab area? Not when I lived down there. WTF is Patagonia thinking?
  14. And I stand by mine, having climbed at both Static Pt and Stone Mountain North Carolina. Stone is much better than SP. About 600ft vert relief, around 100 routes from 5.easy to 5.12, with a heavy concentration in the 5.9-5.10+ range often very runout. Stone is known for the infamous "running belays" where the belayer needs to sprint during a fall to avoid 50ft wingers. Give Capt Crunch a shot, .11 with 3 bolts in a 55m pitch.
  15. Stone Mountain, NC is better than Static Point, IMO. Stone Mountain, GA although closed to climbing, would yield tons of great slab routes in the 8-10 pitch range. It's a dome, rather than a cliffside, about 800' relief. With a tram and walk off already in place. Wheee.
  16. I expect to see a sledneck's high mark on that bitch by early winter....and a new darwin award to boot.
  17. Oh ye of little faith. 2 months, 6 days.
  18. Fascinating, asshole.
  19. Maybe next time he'll get drunk and shoot someone in the face.
  20. Try sticking that in your pocket.
  21. Wouldn't much matter to the US if Venezuela was at full production capacity, because their large fields are primarily very heavy crude and we don't have the refinery capacity to deal with it. The "price of oil" you hear quoted in the MSM is for WTI front month. The various grades all sell at different prices related to the heavy/light sweet/sour characterisitcs...Brent, WTI, etc. "Sweet light" is the ideal, meaning relatively thin, high gasoline yield, less intensive refining required, and low sulfur. Jay, this ran about 3 days and was covered at theoildrum.com, a site I use and recommend. Lots of industry insiders, academics, etc. It's a "peak oil" focused site, but follows all the data releases, news, runs in depth tech articles and so forth. It's not overrun with greens or doomsday types.
  22. Bought an engagement ring. Followed shortly by the smartest thing I ever did...didn't propose and took the ring back to the store.
  23. WTF is that govt measures of inflation, whether CPI, core CPI, PEI, or any others are designed to understate inflation by stripping out everything that is rising in price. Allows the govt to borrow at lower rates, and degrade the fiat currency at will with minimal repercussions. You can thank Nixon for taking us off the gold standard, allowing craven politicians to effectively run the printing press at will, and the Greenspan era FED for throwing money around like a drunk sailor. Value of the pre-Federal Reserve era (i.e. circa 1914) dollar today...$0.14. The US dollar is backed by nothing other than the hollow promises of politicians (i.e. the "full faith and credit of the US") which means fuck-all when they expand the monetary supply beyond the growth rate of GDP. You can maintain the quality, or quantity of a fiat currency, but not both. Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) is about the only person in your congress that understands the game. This speech is worth reading: http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2006/cr021506.htm NEVER buy govt debt tied to inflation, as it will be understated and in real (i.e. inflation adjusted) terms, you will lose purchasing power.
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