ashw_justin

um is this one gonna have sassy flava?

directions: -click on your name -click on "view all user's posts" -go to web address bar, change the "25&" part at the end to "1000&" and press enter (this is the "posts per window") -select all posts and copy -paste into excel -delete first 3 columns -make another column that starts at 1 from the bottom (earliest post) -make xy scatter plot from the two columns -add to cc.com gallery -post in thread to attain uber- status

D'oh.

Tangent Lateral thinking drift in this forum No I mean, I see him. He's f-ing big, and grey. How is that camoflage?

um. I see him.

Here we observe that unlike Dru, Cracked posts much more uniformly, with a linearity that is more precise than even the R^2 value suggests (due to the uncharacteristic lull in posts near the beginning of the data set). Conclusion: Cracked needs to go climbing.

So.... Here we have a graph of Dru's last 1000 posts, the raw data for which was extracted from here: http://www.cascadeclimbers.com/threadz/dosearch.php?Cat=0&Forum=All_Forums&Name=357&Searchpage=0&Limit=1000& We can see that the over the past couple of months Dru's posting frequency has indeed been linear, with an R^2 value of 0.97 and a posting frequency of about 22 posts per day. This means that should his posting frequency maintain its linear trend, post 20,000 should occur in 21.4 days, or roughly on the morning of Tuesday, July 6th. This does not take into account the obviously visible anomalies in the data due to periods of diminished posting by Dru, presumably during weekends.

I demand visual evidence! Hey I bet a moderator could pull that stuff up.

Science without data is religion and data without statistics is very poor artwork

I expect a 95% confidence interval to be included to qualify any estimation of t(20,000) along with a statistical justification for employing the method of raw average posting rate to arrive at this prediction.

That's why you should rope up on the Roman Wall. I actually heard something along those lines from a couple of climbing rangers while hiking up the bare ridge above the saddle. But seriously, I'm pretty sure people actually manage to fall in crevasses on the way up to the saddle. Don't ask me how, I've never seen it happen.

People do actually end up falling in crevasses on the C-D from time to time, don't they?

What's this? You make demands of the silent giants! Hail and thunder will be brought down to smite you from your two-planked human pedestal, and your hubris will cause your marrow to be scoured by glacier worms for eternity for your transgressions! Wrath and fury your way comes! Wa-ha-ha-hah-hoo-hoo-huh-hoo!!

You see what you did, Paul? You told people to bring skis, and the mountains were angered and spewed forth 2 feet of fresh snow to punish all the little climbers. The mountains have accepted your challenge.

Want to spend all day Thursday cragging at Mt. Erie (lots of 5.10 to 5.11 sport climbing) or if that's no good, then one of the others. PM me if interested.

No way, Pandora would have rocked that sh. Two feet of fresh would just make it better for postholing! Haha I couldn't even keep up with her... and she was breaking trail! No offense to Brianna. Maybe you are an unstoppable post-holing machine, too.

On the contrary I believe blood is lot more corrosive to rock than chalk is. Think of all of the electrochemically active elements, the most abundant of course being iron.

I doubt there is water at 6000 feet. Your last sure bet for water is the now tricky stream crossing. Just before the last set of wooded switchbacks.

Stone Gardens? C'mon man it's all about the underground spirit. Those bastards want 16 bucks a pop. Lame.

Hey look it's Michael Jackson's house.

I thought you said there was a pretty solid garage wall circuit in Bellingham? Oh yeah, underground bouldering wall circuit comp yo! I helped set some V1-V3 on Diego's wall...

Don't do the crime, if you can't do the time. You again?

Yeah WTF this is not about the ELF, this is about one guy. You want to take down ELF, fine, go ahead. I agree it is a threat to the establishment. Don't be a fucking ruthless pussy and give one guy an hugely unfair sentence just because the executive branch is too worthless to deal with a small, relatively benign little hippie activist group.

By any chance do you AT/Tele/Splitboard?

Well whatever, that was badass. Probably a good thing I wussed out on that trip... Although I'm pretty sure I would have brought some real crampons and a tool. But hey, no point in taking anything more than you need to accomplish your goal, safety of course being taken into some consideration. Hey, you want to do some ice on Baker next week?