it doesn't matter what you think of statistics or how well you understand or argue them, you're gambling every time you climb.
Fuck it....gambling is fun. Pick your poison, lottery, horses, casinos...mountains, rivers, sky....whatever.
One of the most annoying injuries I ever got, involved me walking on deck joists and breaking my ribs. Hell, I got out of bed this morning and was nearly killed by my cat in the first 5 minutes I was awake.
who cares about the stats? are you gonna get out the door and go climbing or not?