mtnovak Posted March 24, 2004 Share Posted March 24, 2004 anybody interested?email to choyu21@comcast.net or call 360-815-1793. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robc Posted March 24, 2004 Share Posted March 24, 2004 I was on Shuksan north face 20 years ago in early season and three Canadians ahead of us were swept 3000 feet to their deaths by an avalanche. Be careful! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Well that's awfully useful information. Â I saw this wicked bad accident on I5 the other day. Careful on the way home from work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skip_M._Kliphiem Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Bwah,hahahahahaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robc Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Well go ahead and give it a shot. But be careful to evaluate the conditions. Excuse me if I'm stating the obvious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robc Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 I didn't tell a lie and it was all for the good of mankind in general and now I don't care anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrDoolittle Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Lots of new snow low in the hills this morning.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmknight Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Good climbing conditions + lots of fresh snow = weekend of rock climbing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattp Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 WEST SLOPES NORTH CASCADES AND PASSES- WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES- 830 AM PST THU MAR 25 2004...UPDATED Â TODAY...BREEZY...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES. SNOW LEVEL 3500 FEET. AFTERNOON PASS TEMPERATURES AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO 25 MPH. TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. SNOW LEVEL 2500 FEET. SOUTHWEST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO 15 MPH. FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. SNOW LEVEL 3000 FEET. AFTERNOON PASS TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO 20 MPH. FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. SNOW LEVEL 2500 FEET. SOUTHWEST WIND IN THE PASSES 10 TO 15 MPH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chucK Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 But Matt, you left out the part of the forecast that said it's supposed to dry up over the weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattp Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Right you are, ChucK. With this kind of weather, its a little early to rely on weather forecasts for Saturday and Sunday, but Doolittle and Knight posted about all the new snow, and my intent was to suggeset that we probably aren't going to geat a huge dump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chucK Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 Interesting. From my perspective (an avalanche awareness gumby who has never climbed Shuksan), I was thinking your forecast (4-11 inches over two days) looked foreboding. You being much more seasoned than me in both snow assessment and Shuksan experience, seem to be downplaying the danger, or at least saying that it is not obviously going to be a deathtrap. Is that a fair statement? Â How much new snow do you consider a bad sign? Perhaps as a skier, "no amount of new snow is ever bad!"? I guess what the new snow is sitting on is important too. It seems like the snow out there before these storms was fairly consolidated mush. That seems like it would be good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattp Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 I can't answer your question there, ChucK. Obviously, 0" of new snow would be a better forecast. However, we are talking about a few inches a day, at relatively warm temps, and mostly with relatively moderate winds. This is not the stuff of EXTREME avalanche hazards. Â Will it be safe? Who knows. The avalanches from Shuksan Arm on the approach can be some of the largest in the entire State, and the North Face itself is at a perfect angle and aspect to be dangerous this very weekend. I don't mean to sound like I'm "downplaying" the danger if by that you think I'm suggesting that everybody ought to ignore an obvious potential danger - but this is not a lot of new snow for this time of year in the North Cascades. It may turn out to be just fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 avalanche conditions for SW BC are currently HIGH at and above treeline with significant wind forecast for tonight probably loading lee slopes Shuksan isnt that far from SW BC. something to think about. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattp Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 WASHINGTON CASCADES NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST NORTH OF STEVENS PASS... OLYMPICS... Gradually increasing danger later Thursday morning and afternoon and becoming considerable above 5000 feet and moderate below. Slightly decreasing danger Thursday night. Increasing danger again Friday remaining considerable above 5000 feet and moderate below. Gradually decreasing danger Friday night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iain Posted March 25, 2004 Share Posted March 25, 2004 At least down here in oregon, they are calling for a decent dump of ~6" with fairly low freezing levels for March. With wind transport could be more or less. This is followed by a freezing level rocketing to 10k' on sunday. This might be cause for some concern, or at the minimum suggest some tedious sloughing in my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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