Squamish Weather

[counterfeitfake]

I think I've got a decent handle on how to judge weather forecasts in the US. How do you guess what the weather is going to be in Squamish? Enviro Canada and weather.ca have wildly different takes on the coming weekend.

[Sherri]

How do you guess what the weather is going to be in Squamish?

 

If you guess rain, nine times out of ten you'll be right.

[jmace]

I think I've got a decent handle on how to judge weather forecasts in the US. How do you guess what the weather is going to be in Squamish?

 

Same way, look at the jet stream, read the nws report for western washington and check those above sites.

 

We have a big low parked off the coast and its going to move across on Friday, weak ridge moves in on the weekend. Strength of that ridge is up for debate as you have noticed in the weather forecasts.

 

Weak front arrives on Monday

[G-spotter]

i would bring a rain jacket and think cragging rather than long routes if i was you. sunday sounds like the driest one of three

[hafilax]

It would be nice if there was a confidence level indicator that would go along with the forecast.

 

Last weekend had me completely fooled as to what it would do Sunday and Monday.

[ryanb]

It would be nice if there was a confidence level indicator that would go along with the forecast.

 

Last weekend had me completely fooled as to what it would do Sunday and Monday.

 

Here you go:

http://probcast.washington.edu/

[G-spotter]

It would be nice if there was a confidence level indicator that would go along with the forecast.

 

Last weekend had me completely fooled as to what it would do Sunday and Monday.

 

victoria day = rain. that simple, no fooling

[hafilax]

Friends went to Leavenworth on Monday with the forecast on the Sunday calling for sun. Hiked in to Outer Space and it started to sprinkle a bit. 10 minutes later it was raining and 20 minutes later it was a down pour.

 

Something unexpected must have come through. An unexpected swing in the jet stream?

 

I'll be sure to mark down rain on the calendar for next year and plan a trip to Costa Rica.

[jmace]

It would be nice if there was a confidence level indicator that would go along with the forecast.

 

1) email EC and tell them they should reinstate the forecast discussion

 

2) you know if you plan on using the city forecast to go to the mountains you really should take a few minutes to figure out what is going on before taking it verbatim

 

3) EC does not manipulate past 60 hours so all thst you see past that is pure model output and is just the Canadian one.

 

It was more than obvious that this last weekend was not a weekend to bank on or go to the mountains in, this up coming weekend is the same and you know what the rest of may and the first half of June look exactly the same

 

This weekend, last nights 00z run brought in a a whole bunch of moisture in on Saturday..this mornings 12z run completley backed off on it again...chance of showers see what happens forecast..ahh spring!!

[jmace]

An unexpected swing in the jet stream?

 

No it hasnt moved since the last high pressure, but little vort lobes being lobbed in are pretty much impossible to time and are magnified in the hills.

 

So I may give a completley dry forecast knowing that the vort maxes will only cause weather in the hills..thats why its best not to rely on a city forecast for the hills in anything less than bomber high pressure

[hafilax]

Good to know jmace. I didn't have any big plans this past weekend so didn't really look that closely. I was just surprised by the difference between the Friday and Saturday forecasts. Ended up bouldering so NBD.

Edited May 27, 2010 by hafilax

[bstach]

90% of the time the forcast is cloudy with sunny periods and chance of showers.

[hafilax]

You guys must have cracked the proprietary code of the Farmer's Almanac.

[jmace]

90% of the time that is the weather...the difficluties in conveying an entire days weather in one icon...

 

today being a perfect example, its going to piss rain this evening could be heavy too..

 

I chose a sun with heavy rain icon..yet the day is perfectly useable and in fact the entire day is great..but all the public sees is rain with sun...which is correct just not the greatest for planning

 

EC does do forecast discussions, they dont make them public because they asked if the public wanted it and there was no response.

 

Every Canadian who wants more from their weather service should email them, they are listening.

 

I am not allowed to post the discussions but I am happy to answer any questions about the weather forecast

 

cheers

[Rad]

Let me know if you figure out the difference between "mostly sunny" and "partly cloudy".

Sounds like two ways to look at the same glass of milk.

[bstach]

90% of the time that is the weather...the difficluties in conveying an entire days weather in one icon...

 

today being a perfect example, its going to piss rain this evening could be heavy too..

 

I chose a sun with heavy rain icon..yet the day is perfectly useable and in fact the entire day is great..but all the public sees is rain with sun...which is correct just not the greatest for planning

 

EC does do forecast discussions, they dont make them public because they asked if the public wanted it and there was no response.

 

Every Canadian who wants more from their weather service should email them, they are listening.

 

I am not allowed to post the discussions but I am happy to answer any questions about the weather forecast

 

cheers

I like the hourly forecast available on other web sites. EC should do that.

[Choada_Boy]

I there any validity to the idea that Howe Sound "funnels" and concentrates shitty weather up to Squamish? So that if it's bad in North Van, it's worse in Squish?

[G-spotter]

squamish total annual rain 2370 mm

north van average 1770 mm

[Choada_Boy]

squamish total annual rain 2370 mm

north van average 1770 mm

 

Are these liberal or conservative facts?

[climbercam]

weatheroffice.com is the most accurate. Its raining right now BTW