Gary_Yngve Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 The above bargraph is the result of a million trials of twelve simulated drives. A drive of 80 yds or more earned 7 points, a drive of 60-79 yards earned 3 points, and anything less earned 0 points. A drive was assumed finished on a turnover, a score, or a 4th down (mandatory FG or Punt). Each play was (incorrectly) assumed to be independent of any other play, the down, or yards needed for a first. The distribution of yardage was assigned relatively arbitrarily as follows: 2%: turnover 3%: loss of 2 to loss of 15 15%: loss of 2 to gain of 1 20%: gain of 1 to gain of 4 20%: gain of 4 to gain of 8 15%: gain of 8 to gain of 16 5%: gain of 16 to gain of 32 2%: touchdown Note the wide spread in total scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olyclimber Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 nice troll gary Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chucK Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Ooooh aggregated scores from virtual football! That's even more boring than aggregated scores from real football! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Gary's PhD is just luck so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gary_Yngve Posted February 6, 2006 Author Share Posted February 6, 2006 There's actually a lot of interest in psychology and probability: http://www-stat.stanford.edu/~cgates/PERSI/courses/stat_121/lectures/psychofprob/ One thing I find interesting is if you take what's his name who had 3000+ hits in baseball, a .300+ average, and a hit-in-a-game streak of 40+ days, and work out the math assuming each swing has identical independent probability, the expected streak over his career agrees what actually happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 If you're so accurate why don't you take up playin the ponies? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtyHarry Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 and work out the math assuming each swing has identical independent probability, the expected streak over his career agrees what actually happened. They speak english in your neighborhood Gary? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
underworld Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 (edited) phd in enumclawlogy Edited February 6, 2006 by underworld Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olyclimber Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Here is how you teach math: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7172438422483406719&q=bikini+calculus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWolfe Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 I got yer aggregate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.