jjd Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Dollar Declines on Speculation Exit Polls Show Kerry Leading Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell against the yen and pared an advance versus the euro on speculation exit polls on some Web sites are favorable to Democrat John Kerry. ```We've seen exit polls from Ohio, Iowa and Florida that Kerry might be in the lead,'' said Joseph Barnea, senior currency trader in New York at Bank Leumi USA, a unit of Israel's second- largest lender. Against the yen, the dollar fell to 106.16 at 3.37 p.m. in New York from 106.46 late yesterday, according to EBS, an electronic foreign-exchange dealing system. Versus the euro, the dollar traded at $1.2715 from $1.2752. Earlier today, the dollar rose to as much as $1.2665. Kerry took the lead over President George W. Bush in online presidential futures trading. Contracts betting on a Kerry victory rose to 54 at 3:45 p.m. in New York, compared with yesterday's close of 44.8. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000101&sid=aD8l2.oLGJYM&refer=japan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lionel_Hutz Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Latest Exit Polls from Slate Early Exit Kerry leads. By Jack Shafer Updated Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2004, at 2:49 PM PT The first wave of exit-poll data reaching my desk comes from a variety of sources. In some states the sources disagree about the specific margin by which a candidate leads, but never about which candidate is out in front. Some of the confusion may stem from the mixing of morning exit-poll numbers with early afternoon numbers. With those provisos and the understanding that the early numbers are predictive of nothing without their accompanying computer model, here's what I've heard: Florida Kerry 50 Bush 49 Ohio Kerry 50 Bush 49 Pennsylvania Kerry 54 Bush 45 Wisconsin Kerry 51 Bush 46 Michigan Kerry 51 Bush 47 Minnesota Kerry 58 Bush 40 Nevada Kerry 48 Bush 50 New Mexico Kerry 50 Bush 48 North Carolina Kerry 49 Bush 51 Colorado Kerry 46 Bush 53 Other exit-poll results have arrived in more vague form, with Kerry leading Bush in New Hampshire but trailing him in Arizona and Louisiana. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catbirdseat Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 It's all meaningless, because the absentee ballots get counted last and they ALWAYS are more conservative than votes cast at the polls. Absentee ballots make exit polls a waste of time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scott_harpell Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 It's all meaningless, because the absentee ballots get counted last and they ALWAYS are more conservative than votes cast at the polls. Absentee ballots make exit polls a waste of time. So... we have the real reason you don't like absentee ballots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 I just saw something that said the absentee vote is expected to go to the Democrats, in Florida anyways. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thelawgoddess Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 who'd you vote for, dru? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 The NDP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 http://www.cascadeclimbers.com/threadz/showflat.php/Cat/0/Number/409558/page/0/view/collapsed/sb/5/o/all/fpart/all/vc/1 Early exit polls results indicate that Bush is in trouble: 4pm EST leaked exit polls: FL: 52/48 - KERRY OH: 52/47 - KERRY MI: 51/48 - KERRY PA: 58/42 - KERRY IA: 50/48 - KERRY WI: 53/47 - KERRY MN: 57/42 - KERRY NH: 58/41 - KERRY ME: 55/44 - KERRY NM: 49/49 - TIE NV: 48/49 - BUSH CO: 49/50 - BUSH AR: 45/54 - BUSH NC: 47/53 - BUSH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catbirdseat Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 It's all meaningless, because the absentee ballots get counted last and they ALWAYS are more conservative than votes cast at the polls. Absentee ballots make exit polls a waste of time. So... we have the real reason you don't like absentee ballots. The axiom that absentee voters are conservative is less true now than it once was. The first people to embrace it were the shut-ins. Old people who couldn't drive and didn't have a choice. Now people regard it as a convenience thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWolfe Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 On another note, I heard that single people are voting for Kerry, while couples are voting for Bush. Kerry = Bush = Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Florida Kerry 51 Bush 49 Ohio Kerry 51 Bush 49 Michigan Kerry 52 Bush 46 Nader 1 Pennsylvania Kerry 53 Bush 46 Iowa Kerry 50 Bush 49 Wisconsin Kerry 51 Bush 48 Nader 1 Minnesota Kerry 52 Bush 46 Nader 2 New Hampshire Kerry 54 Bush 44 Nader 1 New Mexico Kerry 50 Bush 48 Nader 1 Colorado Kerry 49 Bush 50 Nader 1 Arkansas Kerry 45 Bush 54 Nader 1 Missouri Kerry 47 Bush 52 New York Kerry 62 Bush 36 Nader 2 Nevada Kerry 49 Bush 48 Nader 1 New Jersey Kerry 54 Bush 44 Nader Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 vote _Nodder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willstrickland Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 UPDATED: 6pm EST leaked exit polls: Tightening up, still looks bad for Bush. Kerry Bush PA 53 46 FL 51 49 NC 48 52 OH 51 49 MO 46 54 AR 47 53 MI 51 47 NM 50 49 LA 43 56 CO 48 51 AZ 45 55 MN 54 44 WI 52 47 IA 49 49 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWolfe Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 gw bush is coming to portland come protest his policies www gw bush is not a pigheaded politician gw bush is president gw bush is not stupid gw bush is not only the dumbest us president in 50 years gw bush is the 'education president gw bush is the 'education prez gw bush is no genius gw bush is a racist nor that he's insensitive to the concerns of black people – except possibly in the minds of those predisposed to gw bush is all about thumbs gw bush is a born gw bush is a man whose entire career is based solely on his father being george bush and all the helping hands that connection brought gw bush is suffering from a slow charisma leak gw bush is his unprecedented record of presiding over executions while governor of texas gw bush is the antichrist gw bush is a moron gw bush is coming to portland come protest his policies thursday gw bush is a member of the illuminist gw bush is the winner gw bush is a man & so is sonny bonobo gw bush is the perfect choice gw bush is talking about? gw bush is about as incompetent gw bush is gw bush is leading a sovereign government in at gw bush is a literal nazi nor am i implying that everyone who is an oil or pharmaceutical company executive automatically deserves to gw bush is president despite losing the popular vote to al gore and winning by gw bush is using "triangulation" gw bush is sinking gw bush is more decisive gw bush is as expendable as were the thousands who died on 9/11 gw bush is elected? no gw bush is going to be the republican nominee gw bush is not qualified for the position he holds gw bush is the president of the land of the free gw bush is separated from his advisors and suddenly has to orally dictate the budget for the next year? gw bush is a popular jerk gw bush is perhaps the most liberal candidate the republican party has offered to november voters in my lifetime gw bush is trying to gw bush is guilty of gw bush is a compassionate conservative gw bush is showing his colors early gw bush is too light gw bush is a dangerous man gw bush is well aware of his father's failure in this area gw bush is president thanks to the illegal activities of jeb bush gw bush is not our president gw bush is just more proof that "what goes around comes around" gw bush is an american twit/cokehead gw bush is pushing gw bush is listed below gw bush is putting america's energy "requirements" over the common good of the planet gw bush is not a great speaker in public creates a mistaken impression that he is dumb gw bush is having the time of it with osama and the taliban when they were trained by his fathers cia gw bush is presently in a position to run for president gw bush is that imbecile gw bush is doing to that other guy gw bush is putting american soldier’s lives at risk just so he can satisfy his own ego gw bush is really serving gw bush is a democrat gw bush is really somebodies pubic hair gw bush is a very dangerous man gw bush is just not what i expect a president to be gw bush is becoming a new world order dictator gw bush is naturally interested in winning a second term at the next elections in 2004 gw bush is the best candidate the republicans could dig up gw bush is also one of the most anti gw bush is witch contributed by anonymous reader on wed gw bush is a threat to the world gw bush is staunch republicans gw bush is thinking of sending maize but with us or un troops to see that all can eat gw bush is proposing a missile defense plan gw bush is a proponent of maintaining the white oligarchy that is omnipresent in america gw bush is most likely to relate to his feelings and beliefs of righteousness rather than any facts surrounding gw bush is a member of the republican version of the kennedys gw bush is the subtext of the book "compassionate conservatism ----------------------------------------------------------- john kerry is tired john kerry is a national leader in the fight to protect your privacy on the internet john kerry is also busy making sure that businesses are not unduly burdened by government regulation john kerry is the political understudy of ted kennedy john kerry is chair of the committee on small business and entrepreneurship john kerry is an outspoken proponent of quality housing programs for the elderly john kerry is a moderate liberal john kerry is a wonderful politician john kerry is the most visible and perhaps viable contender for the democratic presidential nomination in 2004 john kerry is vulnerable john kerry is back in washington john kerry is married to teresa heinz john kerry is wholeheartedly committed to protecting and strengthening the cornerstone of our retirement security system and looks forward to meeting john kerry is being called upon to 'demand' the us government increase global aids funding by $2 john kerry is trying to assure john kerry is crucial to help democrats win the hard races in tough districts and battleground states john kerry is john kerry is a top senate recipient from the following industries for the 2001 john kerry is one of the most liberal members of congress john kerry is the stronger candidate for the future john kerry is one of the biggest tax and spend liberals in washington john kerry is the junior senator from massachusetts john kerry is not the kind of guy most would cozy up to at a bar john kerry is also the chairman of the senate small business committee john kerry is the ranking member on the senate small businesses committee and serves on the foreign relations john kerry is not the candidate to jump into the charles to amuse viewers of the evening news john kerry is like night and day john kerry is the richest man in the senate john kerry is returning to a more active fund john kerry is smart enough to figure out that he'll need lots of time and money to push his way past the gores and gephardts of the political world to get the john kerry is a leading liberal in the senate john kerry is seeking reelection and a fourth term in office with no republican challenger coming forward john kerry is now a member of the council on foreign relations john kerry is trying to grab the left wing of the democratic party john kerry is wrong on vietnam john kerry is aggressively preparing for a possible run for the 2004 democratic presidential nomination john kerry is working on revisions to legislation that regulates fishing john kerry is huddling with senior political advisers and will announce no later than next monday john kerry is my candidate for the 2004 democratic nomination john kerry is hoping john kerry is one of two senators graded this year john kerry is trying to stave off a strong challenge from popular john kerry is going to get the vice john kerry is a combat veteran john kerry is a wonderful john kerry is prominent regarding the bill john kerry is anti john kerry is tapped to fill out the gore ticket john kerry is hoping for a strong re john kerry is one of the most important and respected political leaders in massachusetts john kerry is the first major politician to sign on to the anti john kerry is not going to have cachet for shaheen john kerry is… pretend? fleischer john kerry is running for re john kerry is my favorite candidate for 2004 john kerry is a democrat representing massachusetts john kerry is telling us that 2% is nothing john kerry is trying to assure voters that he's more than just another democrat from the liberal state of john kerry is definitely presidential material john kerry is still blocking hr2833 john kerry is for being the first to assail the president on the foreign policy front john kerry is well john kerry is a senator from massachusetts john kerry is chairman john kerry is a major player > in national politics and widely considered to be a leader on public policy > issues of importance to john kerry is serious about winning the democratic presidential nomination john kerry is desperately trying to position himself to bush's right without committing himself to any substantive proposal john kerry is one of the biggest tax john kerry is the only one out there i see who can help al gore john kerry is not as ?cuddly' as he could be john kerry is leading potential 2004 democrats in his criticisms of president bush's foreign policy john kerry is accused of limp patriotism john kerry is guaranteed a free ride in the fall john kerry is typical in accusing the white house of a "catastrophic mistake" in the middle east john kerry is gearing up to run for president john kerry is a democratic senator from massachusetts john kerry is another presidential hopeful on the campaign trail this weekend john kerry is a john kerry is an independent consultant specialising in change management processes involving programme management john kerry is emerging as the leading and most vociferous john kerry is leaving recorded calls throughout the state in support of shannon john kerry is his remarkable resemblance to abraham lincoln's horse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjd Posted November 3, 2004 Author Share Posted November 3, 2004 Things aren't looking good for Kerry. My prediction: Bush: 285 Kerry: 253 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snoboy Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 better yet, decide it with a GOOGLEFIGHT!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjd Posted November 3, 2004 Author Share Posted November 3, 2004 Updated prediction Bush: 318 Kerry: 220 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 riiiiight i dont know what data you are looking at, but cnn has exit poll data that places PA, OH, and FLA in Kerrys lap. neither candidate can win without those states,... California hasnt been counted yet, and wont be going to Shrub also NH looks like it goes to Kerry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWolfe Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Anything but the results I WANT is So go suck a goeduck, JJD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjd Posted November 3, 2004 Author Share Posted November 3, 2004 Check out the map here: http://www.yahoo.com/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjd Posted November 3, 2004 Author Share Posted November 3, 2004 Bush 306 Kerry 232 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjd Posted November 3, 2004 Author Share Posted November 3, 2004 IF Kerry wins Florida and Ohio (a big IF), then the results are: Bush 259 Kerry 279 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dru Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 but that's what the punters (pundits) have been saying for weeks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpinfox Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 The way it looks now: 274 Bush 256 Kerry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWolfe Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 We're so fucked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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