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DPS

Weather speculation

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Does anybody have a guess as to what this very warm, very wet extended weather pattern is doing to climbing conditions at various elevations?  Consolidating snowpack?  Creating alpine ice?  Just making really sloppy conditions?

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High temp at Muir over the last seven days is 17F, and 36F at Paradise. So it doesn't seem to be a thick isothermal layer, though it's also not quite at raw adiabatic levels, either. I saw a report of bad crust at Snow Lake Divide, but the passes tend to be anomalous.

https://www.nwac.us/weatherdata/paradise/now/

https://www.nwac.us/weatherdata/campmuir/now/

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Looks a little colder next week so things should firm up.  My guess is it's probably still sloppy below 6,000' this weekend.

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Above 7k I can say that it will be deep (and wind affected).  Five FEET forecasted in the next few days in the North Cascades!

:yeti2:

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This morning it's 33F at Snoqualmie Pass and 35F at Paradise. Muir is offline again. The good news is that this helps consolidate the snowpack so it's more stable and lasts longer in the spring.

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Thursday---today, mt Baker ski area and road up to it was closed ,  4 inches of rain in 24 hours.

Mt Baker website thinks its ski conditions will be good as it is going back to colder.

In mt Vernon thursday 10pm(now) temp is 50 degrees F,   very warm.

 

 

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