actually, if you look at the turn out numbers of the voting public (that is, the people who are actually voting in the primaries), the "change" platform (whatever that is...it could just be use of the word "change") is clearly winning. whether that will translate in a change in the general election or not is yet to be discovered, but if you look that the current 19% approval rating (regardless of what the approval rating is for congress) for the current party in charge of the whitehouse...well it would seem unlikely that those claiming that mccain has an easy path ahead of him are correct.