TrogdortheBurninator Posted November 6, 2012 Posted November 6, 2012 Lots of polls aggregated out there, but folks will argue a party bias for most of them. Seems to me the least likely has gotta be the vegas-style betting odds: http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/1451382/Next-Presidential-US-Election---Next-US-President.html I see folks like Karl Rove (or this guy: http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/why-romney-will-win_660391.html) saying with a straight face they think Romney is the favorite. If that is the case, why aren't those that think Romney is ahead taking full advantage of the house here. Romney pays out 3:1 profit on a win. If Romney is 50.1 odds of winning the electoral college, the bet has an expected value of $1.80 profit for every dollar you bet (in contrast a game like roulette you expect to lost $0.05 on every dollar you bet). Seems a prudent business man would seize this opportunity to spend a large chunk of their high risk investment pool for the year. Certainly the stock market isnt giving that kind of ROI. Unless of course, +Romney republicans just live in a a fantasy world and their heroes are spewing lies to propagate the myth of a close race Quote
TrogdortheBurninator Posted November 6, 2012 Author Posted November 6, 2012 doesnt anybody want to get paid? 4/1 now for your >50% candidate! Quote
Off_White Posted November 6, 2012 Posted November 6, 2012 DON'T LOSE HOPE, BROS!!! I've oh so been hoping for a Stepford Wives re-remake Quote
tvashtarkatena Posted November 6, 2012 Posted November 6, 2012 DON'T LOSE HOPE, BROS!!! I've oh so been hoping for a Stepford Wives re-remake A re-re-make? They issue you one of these with every new Bellevue Club membership. Don't judge by the face - the tits are 30 years younger. Quote
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