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Weather and avy conditions?


fleblebleb

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According to the weather reports the snow level was at 3000-3500' for most of last week, then yesterday it briefly went up to 5000' and now it's going down to 1500-2500' for a few days.

 

The avalanche forecasts were for moderate conditions most of the week, with something like one crust from mid-December (correct me...) and everything fairly stable, but since Thu or so we've gotten a lot of snow.

 

I'm curious what people think the effects of the short warm spell Friday will be, especially in the Alpental area which is at 4000-6000'? Is a warming trend for a part of a day enough to create a dangerous crust and bad avy conditions? What about ice forming on routes like the N Face of Chair and the NE Slab of Tooth? I thought this would be great, thaw followed by freeze, but I guess it wasn't enough of a thaw...

 

Any words from the wise? I know I should go out and look for myself but I'm confined to armchair mountaineering this weekend because I came down with a cold (where is the wazzup gremlin, again?).

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