Thoughts on Rainier forecast

[khu]

Was looking to do the DC Friday and Saturday, but the forecast has evolved into something less than favorable. I've been monitoring the forecast vs telemetry data for Muir and there has been quite a bit of discrepancy. Just wondering, from those who have spent their time on the mountain, when you take the forecast for scripture and call it off. i.e. today the forecast called for 35mph avg wind at muir, but telemetry read 13avg.

 

The summit avg of 50mph is what's disheartening.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/data/rainier_report.html

 

My only worry is waiting and rockfall/snow bridges becoming weaker and more prone to failure as the season starts wrapping up.

 

I appreciate the input

[DPS]

Was looking to do the DC Friday and Saturday, but the forecast has evolved into something less than favorable. I've been monitoring the forecast vs telemetry data for Muir and there has been quite a bit of discrepancy. Just wondering, from those who have spent their time on the mountain, when you take the forecast for scripture and call it off. i.e. today the forecast called for 35mph avg wind at muir, but telemetry read 13avg.

 

The summit avg of 50mph is what's disheartening.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/data/rainier_report.html

 

My only worry is waiting and rockfall/snow bridges becoming weaker and more prone to failure as the season starts wrapping up.

 

I appreciate the input

 

Generally speaking, weather fronts often hit Rainier before the outlying lowlands and the weather is typically more severe. If you don't get a shot this season, the mountain will still be there barring a catastrophic eruption.

[khu]

Yeah, may try and give it a shot next week, but chances could be slim. Seems like I missed the window these last couple weeks. Dang Squamish, seducing me all sexy like...

[Water]

It is longer by a bit but id highly recommend the emmons-winthrop over the DC at this point.