Kimmo
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Posts posted by Kimmo
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jeez, they're quick draws. last set i got were 55 bucks for 6 of them. work just fine.
did you know you can get a pair of jeans for 1,100 bucks, has a single weave of red thread, hard to spot.
arcteryx seems to work on this principle.
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There are 5.14 slabs in GB, as the matter of fact more then one. And btw they do get repeated (which nowadays mostly goes unreported) quite often.
"quite often"? really? doubt it.
Which is exactly my point, that for a good climber a 5.14 pitch is a 5.14 pitch, regardless of the type of climbing.that assertion's so silly it's barely worth responding to, but i'll respond, simply to call it silly! ha.
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i think another consideration besides "are we at rock bottom" are the current interest rates.
is it reasonable to think that the rates could go lower? the latest iteration of operation twist is over and priced into the market(?), so where can rates go now? and with banks enjoying the wide spread....
longer term, i think a reasonable concern is inflation with higher interest rates (could go very high indeed), so locking into current mort rates with real property seems like a decent move. look at your level of affordability, buy with a good 30 yr. or 20 or even 15 if you can do it, and hopefully smile in 5 years as rates double.
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"no joy", meaning you're putting offers, but someone is outbidding you? I've been looking a bit down there, and the price range you're looking at is going fast. I think you need to figure out how much you are willing to pay, and then be ready to go up to that, regardless of the asking price. talk to your agent about escalator clauses in your offer.
I don't know of any "secrets " beyond just keeping at it, although You could look at the foreclosure market and look at distressed properties, especially if you can do the fixing yourself.
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i can see it now:
so the dude decides to continue with his blind descent, stumbling along, and actually does cornice and die.
peanut gallery:
"man, what an idiot. he should have just stayed put, maybe even called a rescue. jeez, a rescue would have been less expensive than a body recovery."
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If you dont agree with me you simply call me names. How fucking childish.
come on, man, this is where every middle aged man can relive his childhood.
I will ask again. Rob... do you beleive that OBL was the mastermind behind 9/11. Yes or no.since my opinion is important, let me answer:
no.
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i guess i never responded, kevino:
Since Kimmo loves quoting articles:From the Oxford Journal of Health Research Education
The effect of falsely balanced reporting of the autism-vaccine controversy on vaccine safety perceptions and behavioral intentions.
Abstract
Controversy surrounding an autism-vaccine link has elicited considerable news media attention. Despite being widely discredited, research suggests that journalists report this controversy by presenting claims both for and against a link in a relatively 'balanced' fashion. To investigate how this reporting style influences judgments of vaccine risk, we randomly assigned 320 undergraduate participants to read a news article presenting either claims both for/against an autism-vaccine link, link claims only, no-link claims only or non-health-related information. Participants who read the balanced article were less certain that vaccines are safe, more likely to believe experts were less certain that vaccines are safe and less likely to have their future children vaccinated. Results suggest that balancing conflicting views of the autism-vaccine controversy may lead readers to erroneously infer the state of expert knowledge regarding vaccine safety and negatively impact vaccine intentions.
can you link to the study? i'd love to see what information the undergrads were given; wouldn't you?
The combined measles, mumps, and rubella vaccines and the total number of vaccines are not associated with development of autism spectrum disorder: the first case-control study in Asia.Abstract
OBJECTIVE:
The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and general vaccinations, including measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine, in Japanese subjects, a population with high genetic homogeneity.
PATIENTS AND METHODS:
A case-control study was performed. Cases (n=189) were diagnosed with ASD, while controls (n=224) were volunteers from general schools, matched by sex and birth year to cases. Vaccination history and prenatal, perinatal, and neonatal factors from the Maternal and Child Health handbook, which was part of each subject's file, were examined. To determine the relationship between potential risk factors and ASD, crude odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated, and the differences in mean values of the quantitative variables between cases and controls were analyzed using an unpaired t-test. Moreover, MMR vaccination and the effect of the number of vaccine injections were investigated using a conditional multiple regression model.
RESULTS:
For MMR vaccination, the OR was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.65-1.68), and no significant differences were found for the other vaccines. For all of the prenatal, perinatal and neonatal factors, there were no significant differences between cases and controls. Furthermore, regarding the presence of ASD, MMR vaccination and the number of vaccine injections had ORs of 1.10 (95% CI, 0.64-1.90) and 1.10 (95% CI, 0.95-1.26), respectively, in the conditional multiple regression model; no significant differences were found.
CONCLUSIONS:
In this study, there were not any convincing evidences that MMR vaccination and increasing the number of vaccine injections were associated with an increased risk of ASD in a genetically homogeneous population. Therefore, these findings indicate that there is no basis for avoiding vaccination out of concern for ASD.
link please? do you know when and by whom this study was done?
you must find a little bit about the above amusing though, right?
if i'm reading this right, someone concludes that based on this ONE study with 400+ participants:
"these findings indicate that there is no basis for avoiding vaccination out of concern for ASD."
this rivals the shit i see posted by the looniest anti-vaxers.
i'm not sure if vaccines are really your subject of interest, but did you read the transcript i posted a link to, the one about the simpsonwood conference with 51 scientists and docs discussing vaccine safety? pretty interesting, no matter one's own views regarding the subject.
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Kimmo, didn't we already do this "final thoughts" roundup? I thought we even hugged and shit, you told me we weren't so different and I think you kissed me? Didn't we already have a moment? Don't worry buddy, we can still play too
gawd, i think you're right. if i remember right, you weren't as polarized as i had previously thought, saying something like
"we don't know what kind of role vaccines play in autism."
then you had to run cuz you were late for your pertussis booster (which you are now up to date on).
but i think it was you who tried to kiss me.
that's why i blocked the whole thing from my memory.
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I want to hear buckaroo talk about fluoridation now. That's some funny shit, better than vaccines.
just so we know your position (emoticons are kinda vague), does the following kinda wrap it up?
-there's no way any vaccines are causing "autism";
-all vaccines have some side effects, but are worth taking;
-all vaccines on the current cdc schedule should be taken by everybody, and on the schedule they promote;
-research has concluded that vaccines cannot cause "autism".
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I agree. Jacque Ellul's The Technological Society is proving to be a better read than I expected, for example. I don't typically go in for straight philosophical texts, and especially after coming straight off of a back-to-back reread of Richard Rhodes' The Making of the Atomic Bomb and Dark Sun: The Making of the Hydrogen Bomb. I was tempted to re-read Dune before I bit into something heavy again. Or perhaps Miyamoto Musashi's A Book of Five Rings, another favorite light read.
I am also currently using a retired aerospace engineer friend's Schaum's Outline of Differential and Intergal Calculus, circa 1964, to relearn what I've forgotten since I earned my B.S. in Industrial Chemistry, with a minor in Technology (back in my pre-Master's days).
Most American's have a 7th or 8th grade literacy level. Most American's can't do calculus for fun. If more of them were like me, as you suggest, this thread would not exist. Dumbfuck.
whoa.
i used to just feel a little humored when you'd jump in with your ranting non sequiturs; now i just feel a little sorry for you.
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There is research out there that can be quoted and used to support whatever you want.
are you speaking in general, or with vaccines specifically?
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I think you mean methylmercury?
So how long does it stay and what damage does it do before excretion?
no, i think it's ethyl mercury in vaccines.
but, you realize it was virtually eliminated in most vaccines, right? except flu vaccines, which contain what, 25 micrograms i believe.
seems kinda hard to zero in on mercury in vaccines as the culprit in the autism rise specifically, when it was removed a decade ago from most vaccines.
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where's your source for ethylmercury bio-accumulation?
my understanding is that serum levels drop to background levels at time X, with excretion occurring through the GI tract after gut flora breakdown....
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Conspiracy?
in Spray
Actually, my information, education, and what I have available upstairs to juggle the two are better than yours in an absolute sense."in an absolute sense"?
come on, man, you're outdoing yourself now.
while you string a few sentences together nicely on occasion, the fact that you'd make an assertion like the above rather ironically makes the assertion itself highly questionable.
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Conspiracy?
in Spray
Kimmo - what is the level of your statistics training?
my specialty is game theory.
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Conspiracy?
in Spray
We can only surmise what happens to it once Buck and Kimmo start riffing on sasquatch, nessie, and ufo's.
i like how you're including me over here.
or are you too busy taking your daughter for her booster shots to actually talk about something substantial in the other thread?
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If it's not thimerosal then what is playing this significant role in the increase in autism?
Good point, that proves it. You're smarter than I thought. Great job!
if you were smarter than i thought, you might say "i don't know, but it could be."
which is kinda what the top scientists and docs said when they met for a conference a while back.
the CDC convened a powwow amongst 50 of the who's who to discuss the plausibility of thimerosol being causative with asd, and guess what? "more study needed."
excerpts:
dr. verstraeten: you are asking for plausibility?
dr. brent: well, yes.
dr. verstraeten: when i saw this, and i went back through the literature, i was actually stunned by what i saw because i thought it is plausible.
here's another:
dr. clover: "maybe that's an impossible question to answer, your first question, because no one around here is going to say that mercury per say(sic) is not a concern."
one more:
dr. johnson:
then here comes an opinion, well it is all opinion, but it expresses a flavor. But i think it relates to what dr. bernier is trying to derive here. this association leads me to favor a recommendation that infants up to two years old not be immunized with thimerosal containing vaccines if suitable alternative preparations are available."
"forgive this personal comment, but i got called out at 8 o'clock for an emergency call, and my daughter-in-law delivered a son by c-section. our first male in the line of the next generation, and i do not want that grandson to get a thimerosal containing vaccine until we know better what is going on."
yes, i actually read the entire transcript. lots of different opinions expressed, lots of interesting info about actual data, analysis of data, omission of data (key data, imo), exposure levels, possible cumulative effects, possible differences in effects based on age of development, etc. etc.
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Probably no medications are "harmless," but I believe vaccinations in general are a good idea, and yes, I find it highly unlikely at this point that vaccinations play a significant role in autism.
hey, we're not that far apart.
you're not a zealot after all!
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I'm glad that they put that in the header, I'm only interested in reading media that supports my personal views.
i suppose i don't really expect an answer, but i should try:
am i right in assuming you have concluded that all vaccinations are harmless, and simply could not cause or contribute to autism-type disorders, or any other neurological disorders?
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has anyone read this before:
it's an article about vaccines that appeared in Rolling Stone some years back....
haven't checked on a bunch of assertions, but certainly piques the interest, no?
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Don't think about this stuff while driving.
jesus. brutal.
thanks for posting. makes me reconsider how i've been driving lately.
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Science is rapidly discovering much more about this subject
how rapidly? like if you gave it a miles per hour?
would it outrun a cheetah?
btw, did you know the egyptians used cheetahs for hunting? true story. pretty cool.
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i don't think--and i've never come across anyone who does think-- that the increase in autism diagnoses is simply/completely attributable to a retooling of the criteria used. i also don't think anyone thinks that this doesn't play a role.
but the most recent and comprehensive study debunked the idea that autism was mainly genetic. in fact, it indicates the exact opposite, that only 38% of asd cases are genetic.
so, 62% of cases are environmentally caused, and we are going to dismiss the notion that a particular trigger might be contributing, when that trigger has been absolutely implicated in some cases of asd? (vaccines in this case).
now that seems insane and unscientific to me.
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I am sure Kimmo rejects all modern "scientific" advances. You boil your own rain water for drinking, right? Or do you use "treated" "water" from a "municipal" "water" "supply"? Do you use any "medicine" or see a "doctor" when you are "sick"? Ever had an "X-Ray"?
Funny, though...you seem to be using a "computer" developed using "science" to spew your "bullshit".
slow and angry. they go together.
but since you sincerely seem confused:
I embrace the scientific method. It's a pretty good combo when a humanoid actually uses it. You should try it sometime.
26 dead in Connecticut elementary school
in Spray
Posted
haven't thought about the whole gun laws in the ol' US thing lately, but this whole killing phenomenon ain't a particularly US humanoid only thing:
link