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Posted

The products from the good people at www.nwac.us usually begin with this disclaimer:

 

"This forecast applies to back country avalanche terrain below 7000 feet"

 

What do you think about extrapolating their forecasts for the good stuff above 7000 feet?

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Posted

Looking at the avy forecast if you are heading into the high alpine is a good place to start, but I assume that the reason for the disclaimer is above treeline there become an increasing number of factors that make each slope too unique to catagorize into a general forecast.

 

-effects of wind transported snow (windslabs)

-ridgelines that have a shallow snowpack (possibilites of facets or depth hoar)

-effects of wind sheltered areas (surface hoar growth)

-effects of aspect (suncrusts)

-altitude and increased solar radiation

 

you might get some good input if you also post your question on the teletips avalanche forum, there's some very avy savy folks that post over there.

http://www.telemarktalk.com/phpBB/viewforum.php?f=5

Posted

It would be very nice if we could get something like what the Colorado Avalanche Center publishes: http://geosurvey.state.co.us/avalanche/Default.aspx?tabid=106

 

Very easy to read (doesn't exempt you from reading the full forecast though!). I have seen that thing *entirely* black: a good day to bike or stay inbounds smile.gif

 

The friends of the NW Avalanche Center site also has a blog. (Or had? The site isn't working tonight.) http://www.avalanchenw.org/blog/ . People post their observations and you can read them. If you head into the BC it's nice to post here when you return so that people can get live data.

 

drC

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