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A man approaches a shepherd, and bets him $100 against a sheep from the flock, that he can, in one guess, estimate how many sheep are in the flock.

 

The shepherd knows he has nearly a thousand sheep, and figures it will be hard for this suited man to come anywhere near the correct number. So, thinking of what he can spend the $100 on, he agrees to the bet.

 

The suit looks over the flock, hems and haws for a minute, mutters to himself 'add 10 for wanderers betweeen subgroups and divide by coefficient of density'... then turns to the shepherd : "979".

 

"That's....that's Exactly right! By god I don't know how you did it but you've won fair and square."

 

The suit grabs an animal from the flock and is turning to go when the shepherd says: "WAIT!! I'll bet you double or nothing, that I can guess your occupation!"

 

The suit agrees, and the shepherd says "Government economist."

 

"Yup." says the economist. "How did you know?

 

"Well, I had a real good clue when you picked up my dog there...." yellaf.gif

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