tvashtarkatena Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Been skiing all my life, and never met anyone who got more 'overconfident' as a result of avalanche training. I have met a whole bunch of folks who dig pits and assess the situation in a rational manner, and ski more safely as a result, however. The more you know about avalanches, the more you don't want to get caught in one. Never even hear this argument, actually. It's a weird one. Ian McCammon apparently didn't think it was that weird: The Role of Training In Recreational Avalanche Accidents in the United States ABSTRACT: Avalanche education has become widely available in the United States, and yet trained recreationists continue to comprise over a third of avalanche victims. Does avalanche education really make a difference? This study investigated the relationship between avalanche education and victim behavior in 344 recreational U.S. accidents, and found that victims with more avalanche training did in fact take fewer overall risks. However, all of the risk reduction in trained recreationists can be attributed to better mitigation measures taken by these victims. None of the risk reduction appeared to be the result of trained groups exposing themselves to less hazard. In fact, victims with basic formal training exposed themselves to more hazard than any other group, including those with no awareness of avalanches. In light of recent findings in decision science, these results suggest that behaviorist and naturalistic teaching strategies would be effective in improving avalanche education. Edit to add: I have no idea what factors led to accidents over the weekend and make no speculation as to what I would have done differently or what the victims should have done differently. The risks I took when I was younger were inordinate, and Ian McCammon's work over the last 10 years has shed a lot of light on why I took the risks I did. This researcher concludes that the More Knowledge = More Risk argument is a weird one, too. Thanks for the data driven confirmation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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