Nick.Battaglia Posted June 11, 2020 Share Posted June 11, 2020 Out-of-towner here with a cascades trip planned for next week although the weather reports are not looking great. We have a lower risk profile but had hoped to get up some moderately technical routes on any of either baker, hood, rainier, adams. We actually have a permit for liberty ridge, summiting the 19th. What can locals say about the weather next week, how smart would it be to drive out and camp and hope for a weather window give the general weather pattern that's predicted right now? Is it still too far out to say? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonG Posted June 11, 2020 Share Posted June 11, 2020 It is too far out to know for sure about the 19th, but it appears unsettled into the extended: .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...Extended models in good agreement with the upper level low moving out of the area early Sunday. This is the best chance for a short dry spell with a weak and transitory upper level ridge moving through during the day. Yet another system arriving on Monday keeping the cool and wet June weather pattern intact. Yet another upper level low/trough behind the front Tuesday for more shower activity. There is some disagreement in the models Wednesday with the ECMWF kicking the trough out of the area for a dry day. The GFS does have the trough east of the area but not far enough for a dry forecast. Ensembles in both models have about 20 percent of the solutions with some light precipitation. Will keep a slight chance of showers in the forecast Wednesday. High temperatures will remain below normal through the extended period with upper 50s to lower 60s warming into the 60s by Wednesday. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Felton This time of year the Stuart range is a good backup if the high peaks are getting hit, which is often the case. Liberty Ridge is really one that you want perfect weather on (meaning clear skies AND low wind). There have been a number of accidents/fatalities over the years on that route related to poor weather. Actually, I sort of think that is true for all the volcanoes. They have a way of magnifying whatever weather is around. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlecE Posted June 11, 2020 Share Posted June 11, 2020 Maybe I'm getting lazy with my weather game, but at this point I just check the Hood mountain forecast (PDX based) and if it looks gross I just assume all the volcanoes are out and pack the biking/rock climbing gear instead. We do get some regional variation, but the volcanoes always have the worst weather. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DPS Posted June 11, 2020 Share Posted June 11, 2020 Liberty Ridge is tough for out of town climbers. The weather is a crap shoot until after July 4th and by then the route is on its way to being out of shape. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danthemtn_man Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 If you look at the weather.gov forecast discussion they reference that the Extended forecast is still pretty shaky https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=SEW&issuedby=SEW&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 I am local (Seattle) and looking to ski via Fuhrer finger on Sun, if that helps at all, but I am also apprehensive about weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kameron Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 (edited) Looks decent, although with all the fresh snow you will have wintry conditions without much/any consolidation. And probably no track in the route. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/data/rainier_report.html Edited June 16, 2020 by Kameron 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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