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Winter speculation thread


DPS

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La Nina was the word a few months ago. Since that time NOAA backtracked to a, "Normal," winter.

 

A recent report on North Pacific ocean temperatures implied there was quite a bit of warm water out there

 

[img:center]https://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/features/food_chain/images/map.jpg[/img]

 

Not since records began has the region of the North Pacific Ocean been so warm for so long. The warm expanse has been characterized by sea surface temperatures as much as three degrees C (about 5.4 degrees F) higher than average, lasting for months, and appears on large- scale temperature maps as a red-orange mass of warm water many hundreds of miles across.

 

We'll find out in a couple months

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  • 2 weeks later...

The remnants of that tropical storm were supposed to hit western wa last Saturday.

Two days out everyone was buying food and fueling, costco ran out of bread. Then the storm hit???? NOT.

 

If they can't call the storm of the decade two days out why does anyone take the seasonal forcast seriously or dare I say AGW...

Edited by Eric T
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If they can't call the storm of the decade two days out why does anyone take the seasonal forcast seriously or dare I say AGW...

 

Weather and climate are two different things.

 

If you eat a whole head of cabbage, you might reasonably expect a colon blowout the next day, but try predicting it to the nearest second a day in advance.

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Don't get me wrong, I'm not a climate denialist. It's just some of the predictions thrown around are alarmist. An example that pops to mind is the prediction in 1999 that Himalayan glaciers that were supposed to melt and disappear by 2014 causing a huge drought and humanitarian crisis.

 

https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/ipcc-finally-acknowledges-its-e2809chimalayan-blundere2809d/

 

 

 

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Don't get me wrong, I'm not a climate denialist. It's just some of the predictions thrown around are alarmist. An example that pops to mind is the prediction in 1999 that Himalayan glaciers that were supposed to melt and disappear by 2014 causing a huge drought and humanitarian crisis.

 

https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/ipcc-finally-acknowledges-its-e2809chimalayan-blundere2809d/

 

 

 

Hmmm, don't bet on them sticking around forever though

 

http://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/2016/10/24/tibet-avalanches-1/

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